2024 election

January 23, 2022

Florida Emerges as Epicenter of GOP 2024 Primary

The Sunshine State is emerging as the eye of the storm in the early battle for the GOP presidential nomination amid growing speculation that multiple Florida Republicans are gearing up for a 2024 bid.

The speculative list of names includes Gov. Ron DeSantis (R), Sens. Marco Rubio (R) and Rick Scott (R), and former President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly hinted at another presidential run.

Ford O’Connell, a Florida-based Republican strategist, told The Hill that it’s “almost guaranteed that a Floridian is going to be the nominee in 2024.”

“Until Donald Trump became a Florida resident, Florida had never had a presidential nominee or VP nominee in the history of the state,” O’Connell said.

“It’s gone from being an important battleground to literally the center of the universe for the Republican Party.”

Despite the speculation, Scott has said that he’s planning on running for reelection in 2024, while DeSantis has said that he’s focused on winning a second term in the governor’s mansion this year.

Still, there have been multiple reports of the growing tension between Trump and DeSantis, stemming from the fact that the governor’s declined to say publicly if he would run for president if Trump does. His omission is conspicuous given that several other would-be contenders have said they would support the former president if he makes another bid in 2024 — including Rubio and Scott.

“I wonder why the guy won’t say he won’t run against me,” Trump reportedly said of DeSantis.

“There’s the old saying that every senator sees himself as a future president,” one Republican strategist said.

“I think that’s doubly true for any Republican in Florida right now. There are just a lot of really strong personalities that are in the mix.”


Florida looms large in Republican 2024 primary

January 15, 2022

RNC Threatens to Block GOP Nominees from Presidential Debates

The Republican National Committee (RNC) sent a letter to the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) threatening to block future GOP nominees from official debates if it fails to make “meaningful reforms.”

So long as the CPD appears intent on stonewalling the meaningful reforms necessary to restore its credibility with the Republican Party as a fair and nonpartisan actor, the RNC will take every step to ensure that future Republican presidential nominees are given that opportunity elsewhere,” RNC chair Ronna McDaniel wrote.

“Accordingly, the RNC will initiate the process of amending the Rules of the Republican Party at our upcoming Winter Meeting to prohibit future Republican nominees from participating in CPD-sponsored debates,” she added. 

According to the New York Times, who first reported the move, the GOP has long accused the CPD of favoring Democrats. The nonprofit CPD has described itself as nonpartisan.

Per the letter, the RNC first began its discussions with the debate commission’s co-chair, Frank Fahrenkopf, in June 2021.

“The RNC wrote to the CPD [in June] outlining its serious missteps and the partisan actions of its board members, explaining that these actions have damaged the RNC’s faith that the CPD can provide a fair and impartial forum for presidential debates,” McDaniel wrote.

The CPD responded to the allegations of bias in a statement to Axios.

“The CPD’s plans for 2024 will be based on fairness, neutrality and a firm commitment to help the American public learn about the candidates and the issues,” the commission wrote.

The RNC has shared our concerns with the CPD in good faith, carefully documenting why the party and its voters have lost faith in your organization, and we have proposed commonsense reforms that would restore trust in the debates process,” the committee said, adding, “Unfortunately, neither the tone nor substance of your latest response inspires confidence that the CPD will meaningfully address the serious issues which the RNC has raised.”


RNC threatens to block candidates from participating in official debates

January 14, 2022

Dem Operatives Push for Hillary 2024 ‘Comeback’

Two Democratic operatives say a “perfect storm” brewing within their party is paving the way for “a political comeback for Hillary Clinton in 2024.”

Douglas Schoen, founder and partner of Schoen Cooperman Research, a polling and consulting firm whose past clients include Bill Clinton and Michael Bloomberg, and Andrew Stein, a former New York City Council president and state assemblyman, made their case in a new op-ed for the Wall Street Journal.

The pair claimed that between questions about President Joe Biden’s mental fitness and sinking approval ratings and Vice President Kamala Harris’ “unpopularity,” there is a “leadership vacuum” within the Democratic Party.

“[Clinton] is already in an advantageous position to become the 2024 Democratic nominee. She is an experienced national figure who is younger than Mr. Biden and can offer a different approach from the disorganized and unpopular one the party is currently taking,” they wrote.

“If Democrats lose control of Congress in 2022, Mrs. Clinton can use the party’s loss as a basis to run for president again, enabling her to claim the title of ‘change candidate.'”

The writers cited various recent instances that indicate Clinton has another presidential bid for office on her mind — including a “veiled jab at the Biden administration and congressional Democrats in an effort to create distance.”

“It means nothing if we don’t have a Congress that will get things done, and we don’t have a White House that we can count on to be sane and sober and stable and productive,” Clinton said during a recent interview.

Bill Clinton hinted at “his wife’s potential 2024 candicacy,” according to the piece, “referring to her in an interview with People magazine as ‘the most qualified person to run for office in my lifetime, including me.'”

“Given the likelihood that Democrats will lose control of Congress in 2022, we can anticipate that Mrs. Clinton will begin shortly after the midterms to position herself as an experienced candidate capable of leading Democrats on a new and more successful path,” the writers claimed.

The piece concluded: “If Democrats want a fighting chance at winning the presidency in 2024, Mrs. Clinton is likely their best option.”

The WSJ article is the latest op-ed to declare Clinton as the best choice for the Democrats in 2024. Last month, The Hill published a piece by Joe Concha entitled: “Hillary 2024? Given the competition, she may be the Dems’ best hope.”

“Hillary Clinton always seemed to believe the mantle of ‘First Female President’ was her birthright,” Concha wrote. “And given how pathetic the field is on the Democratic side with or without Joe Biden, she may just get a second chance at winning the office her husband so famously made infamous.”


Hillary Clintons 2024 Election Comeback

January 4, 2022

US Could Be Under ‘Right-Wing Dictatorship’ by 2030, Professor Warns

A Canadian professor wrote an op-ed warning that “American democracy could collapse” by 2025 and the country “could be governed by a right-wing dictatorship” by 2030.

“By 2025, American democracy could collapse, causing extreme domestic political instability, including widespread civil violence. By 2030, if not sooner, the country could be governed by a right-wing dictatorship,” wrote Thomas Homer-Dixon, executive director of the Cascade Institute at Royal Roads University in British Columbia.

Homer-Dixon, a self-proclaimed “scholar of violent conflict,” warned Canadians that their country must be prepared as the U.S. seems headed toward inevitable political collapse.

“We mustn’t dismiss these possibilities just because they seem ludicrous or too horrible to imagine. In 2014, the suggestion that Donald Trump would become president would also have struck nearly everyone as absurd. But today we live in a world where the absurd regularly becomes real and the horrible commonplace,” Homer-Dixon wrote.

“Today, as I watch the unfolding crisis in the United States, I see a political and social landscape flashing with warning signals.”

The political science professor went on the write that the U.S. is “becoming increasingly ungovernable, and some experts believe it could descend into civil war.”

“A terrible storm is coming from the south, and Canada is woefully unprepared. Over the past year we’ve turned our attention inward, distracted by the challenges of Covid-19, reconciliation and the accelerating effects of climate change,” he wrote.

Homer-Dixon sounds the alarm on the possibility of another Trump presidency in 2024, saying it could spell trouble for America’s neighbor to the north.

“But now we must focus on the urgent problem of what to do about the likely unraveling of democracy in the United States. We need to start by fully recognizing the magnitude of the danger. If Mr. Trump is re-elected, even under the more optimistic scenarios the economic and political risks to our country will be innumerable.”

The professor says Trump “and a host of acolytes and wannabes such as Fox [News]’s Tucker Carlson and Georgia representative Marjorie Taylor Greene” transformed the Republican party “into a near-fascist personality cult that’s a perfect instrument for wrecking democracy.”

Though Homer-Dixon issued a dire warning for what may happen following a 2024 victory for the former president, he says “Trump may be just a warm-up act.”

“Returning to office, [Trump will] be the wrecking ball that demolishes democracy, but the process will produce a political and social shambles. Still, through targeted harassment and dismissal, he’ll be able to thin the ranks of his movement’s opponents within the state – the bureaucrats, officials and technocrats who oversee the non-partisan functioning of core institutions and abide by the rule of law. Then the stage will be set for a more managerially competent ruler, after Mr. Trump, to bring order to the chaos he’s created.”


The American polity is cracked, and might collapse. Canada must prepare

December 19, 2021

Op-Ed Declares Hillary 2024 the Dems’ Best Hope

A recent opinion piece by Joe Concha for The Hill suggests that Hillary Clinton may be the best choice for the Democratic nominee amid President Joe Biden’s fledgling approval numbers and public standing.

In the piece titled “Hillary 2024? Given the competition, she may be the Dems’ best hope,” Concha cites a recent poll that found only 22% of Americans want Biden to run again in 2024.

When polling only Democrats, Biden doesn’t fare much better. Only 36% want Biden, and 44% want “someone else.”

Concha, a media and politics columnist, thinks that “someone else” might as well be Clinton. As many people on Capitol Hill speculate that Donald Trump will run for president in 2024, Concha listed reasons why other would-be Democratic contenders wouldn’t be the right choice.

“The Democratic bench is about as deep as the New York Jets’ these days. Vice President Harris? She’s at 28 percent approval, per USA Today,” Concha wrote. “Former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo? No longer governor and thoroughly disgraced. Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA)? He had to spend major time and resources just to avoid being ousted in deep-blue California during a recall election earlier this year.”

“If those are the options, why not Hillary? She’s 74 years old, which is like being bathed in the fountain of youth compared to Biden. And she’s still stunned — five years later — that she actually lost to Donald Trump. In fact, she sounds no different than Trump in constantly complaining about all the reasons she lost and that, well, the election was stolen by Trump and the Russians anyway. That type of rhetoric is a big no-no for Trump, but A-OK if Hillary (or Stacey Abrams) does it. Rules are rules.”

Based on Clinton’s recent behavior in the public eye, she may be gearing up to throw her hat in the ring. Clinton warned against Trump making another presidential bid in a new interview with Sunday TODAY.

“If I were a betting person right now, I’d say Trump is going to run again,” Clinton said. “But I want people to understand that this is a make-or-break point.”

“Are we going to give in to all these lies and this disinformation and this organized effort to undermine our rule of law and our institutions, or are we going to stand up to it?”

In the interview, Clinton tells Willie Geist that she was so certain of a 2016 victory over Trump, she didn’t prepare a concession speech.

Earlier this month, Clinton tearfully read her would-be victory speech publicly for the first time for a MasterClass called “Hillary Rodham Clinton Teaches The Power of Resilience.”

“Hillary Clinton always seemed to believe the mantle of ‘First Female President’ was her birthright,” Concha wrote. “And given how pathetic the field is on the Democratic side with or without Joe Biden, she may just get a second chance at winning the office her husband so famously made infamous.”


Hillary 2024? Given the competition, she may be the Dems’ best hope

November 29, 2021

Psaki Confirms Biden’s Plans for 2024

White House press secretary Jen Psaki confirmed that President Joe Biden plans to run for reelection in 2024, amid ongoing reports speculating if he would hit the campaign trail again.

“He is. That’s his intention,” Psaki told reporters during a press conference, confirming reports that Biden’s been informing his staff he intends to make a 2024 bid.

Last week, Politico reported positioning within other Democrats potentially interested in running for president if Biden didn’t pursue a second term. Then, over the weekend, The Washington Post reported that Biden and his closest advisers had recently reassured allies that he plans to run again.

Speculation over Biden’s potentially not seeking reelection also stems from his age and waning popularity in recent weeks. If re-elected, Biden would be 82 at the start of his second term. He became the oldest individual to be inaugurated during his swearing-in ceremony in January.

Biden’s poll numbers have been steadily declining throughout his time as president — particularly taking hits amid the Afghanistan withdrawal and ongoing migrant crisis at the U.S.-Mexico border — and more recently amid inflation, supply chain issues, and party infighting.

Recent surveys have found that only 40% of voters approve of Biden, and only 28% approve of Vice President Kamala Harris.

According to The Guardian, Biden had his first physical examination on Friday since taking office. Doctors found he has a stiffened gait and frequent coughing fits caused by acid reflux but said he was fit to serve.


Joe Biden intends to run again in 2024, White House confirms

November 28, 2021

Buttigieg Presidential Buzz Reaches the White House

Although Pete Buttigieg’s being buzzed about as President Joe Biden’s potential heir, he says he’s not thinking about what comes next.

“I’d say the other thing that I’m really enjoying about this job, although it’s very demanding and obviously requiring a lot, is that this is the least I have had to think about campaigns and elections in about a decade and that’s a very good thing,” Buttigieg told Politico.

Speaking about the buzz around his name as a potential Democratic presidential nominee in 2028 — or 2024, if Biden opts not to run — Buttigieg says he’s not thinking about it. Still, others inside the West Wing are suggesting it.

“Nobody in the West Wing shuts that down,” one insider reportedly told Politico. “It’s very open.”

The outlet says some frustrated staffers find the chatter to be disrespectful to Vice President Kamala Harris.

Amid reports of an emerging rivalry with Harris, Buttigieg said: “We work extremely well with the vice president’s team, and I’m proud to be part of the Biden-Harris team and this administration.”


The Buttigieg presidential buzz has penetrated the White House

Photo by Gage Skidmore

November 27, 2021

Trump/Biden 2024 Rematch Could Be a Blowout

A new Rasmussen poll shows former President Donald Trump has a double-digit lead over President Joe Biden in a potential 2024 rematch.

Data shows 45% of likely voters would pick Trump, whereas 32% would select Biden. The disparity is even greater among political independents, with the voters choosing Trump 47%-20%.

Additionally, 17% percent of participants said they’d choose a different candidate altogether, and 6% said they were undecided. Surprisingly, 15% of Democrats said they’d vote for Trump. Conversely, 8% of Republicans would pick Biden.

“Only 69% of those who say they voted for Biden last year would vote for him again if the election were held today. Eight percent (8%) of Biden’s 2020 voters would switch to Trump, who would get 83% support from those who voted for him last year,” the analysis read.

The new results come amid Biden’s slipping approval numbers across the country, as the underwhelmed American public deals with things like inflation and supply chain issues.

Who would you choose if it’s Trump vs. Biden in 2024? Vote below.


Trump Would Win Rematch With Biden

November 3, 2021

Almost half of Democrats want a candidate other than Biden to run in 2024

A new poll shows that 44 percent of Democrats think their party will have a better chance of winning in 2024 if someone other than President Joe Biden is the candidate.

Forty-four percent of Democrats and Democrat-leaning Independents want another candidate while 36 percent want to keep Biden and 20 percent are unsure.

Across the aisle, 50 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents believe former President Donald Trump is their best chance of regaining the White House. Thirty-five percent want someone else, and 14 percent are unsure.

The new Marist poll data comes as Biden’s approval numbers continue to fall, with 49 percent saying they disapprove of Biden’s job as president.

Biden claimed he doesn’t put much stock in the poll numbers.

“By the way, look, the polls are going to go up and down and up and down. They were higher early. Then they got medium. Then back up, and now they’re low,” Biden told reporters at the G20 Summit in Rome. “Look at every other president. The same thing has happened, but that’s not why I ran. I didn’t run to determine how well I’m going to do in the polls.”


NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist National Poll: Trust in Elections, Threat to Democracy, Biden Approval, November 2021

October 25, 2021

Poll: 78 percent of Republicans want to see Trump run in 2024

A new survey revealed that 78 percent of Republicans want to see former President Donald Trump make another bid for the White House in 2024.

Sixteen percent of Republicans, 94 percent of Democrats, and 58 percent of Independents said Trump should not run.

“While a majority of Americans say, ‘been there, done that’ about Trump, and half feel he has damaged the underpinnings of democracy, support for the former president within the GOP has grown,” said Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy.

The new data comes as Trump drops increasingly strong hints that he plans to launch a 2024 campaign. Recently, Trump visited the prominent swing state, Iowa, and made a series of endorsements in House and Senate races.

Though Trump shows fervent support among his base, 51 percent of Americans said his actions since the 2020 election undermined democracy.


78% Of Republicans Want To See Trump Run For President In 2024, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Americans Now Split On Border Wall As Opposition Softens

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